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News Analysis
CNN/Money Bungles DVD Movie Article
By Swanni 

Washington, D.C. (March 23, 2012) -- CNN/Money published a story yesterday under the headline: "Americans Now Watch More Online Movies Than DVDs."

Problem is, that's not true.

IHS iSuppli, the research firm, released a study predicting that online views will hit 3.4 billion in 2012, compared to 2.4 billion for discs. But it hasn't happened yet. In 2011, in fact, disc views reached 2.6 billion, compared to online's 1.4 billion, according to iSuppli's own stats.

CNN/Money's article includes those facts, but the headline and overall tone of the story is that online has already passed discs; that the disc is all-but dead and that Americans are rapidly discarding their disc players to connect Smart TVs throughout the home.

But not only is that not true, if you look deep into the article, you'll find that iSuppli's own forecast says disc viewing hours will still surpass online viewing hours in 2012, 4.3 billion to 3.2 billion. In addition, the company says disc sales will generate $11.1 billion in revenue in 2012, compared to $1.7 billion in 2011.

In other words, although streaming is gaining in popularity by all measures, Americans are still watching more disc movies and they may continue to do so in 2012 and maybe even next year. Not only that, the disc is more important to the industry than streaming now because of the huge gap in how much they generate in revenue.

Streaming, and other digital delivery methods, will one day replace the disc, but it's not happening at the speed that CNN/Money suggests it is.

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CNN/Money's misleading headline and article says two things:

1. The publication is too quick to pronounce an industry trend as a fait accompli, a weakness of many journalists who don't cover that industry very closely.

2. The publication is too quick to label a research firm's prediction as fact. In this case, iSuppli's forecast that online would surpass discs in 2012 was stamped with a headline saying it had already happened.

The second item is the one of greatest concern here. Research firms issues forecasts every day; some are good and some aren't.

And, some are biased.

That's right. Research groups sometimes issue studies with conclusions that will benefit them financially or politically. That's why journalists need to view them with skepticism rather than blindly accepting their conclusions. Failure to do so gives the research group a free ticket to spread whatever propaganda it would like. And if that propaganda is allowed to spread far enough, it starts to become a reality in people's minds. (After CNN/Money posted its incorrect headline on Twitter yesterday, some journalists immediately retweeted it without questioning its veracity; that's one easy way to spread propaganda.)

I'm not saying that iSuppli in particular is biased here. But CNN/Money is guilty of not questioning the study's forecasts and conclusions.


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