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News Analysis/Commentary
Wacky Wall Street Analyst Proposes $25 Movies
By Swanni

Washington, D.C. (January 25, 2012) -- Do Wall Street analysts live on our planet? Or, are they simply so far detached from reality in today's economic environment that they feel entitled to blurt out some of the dumbest ideas they can think of?

I ask these somewhat rhetorical questions after reading this morning that BTIG research analyst Richard Greenfield is proposing that the studios offer home VOD movies the same day they are released in the theater for the grandly sum of $25.

Now it would seem to me that Greenfield would know full well how DIRECTV and the studios walked this perilous path last year when it offered VOD movies for $30; the films were available roughly two months after their theatrical debut. Despite significant hype, DIRECTV customers ignored the $30 movies and company CEO Mike White had to admit later that they were simply too expensive. The satcaster and studios dropped the premium VOD idea after several months.


Who needs money when you can watch movies?

But Greenfield is now saying that
the studios could net roughly an 80 percent profit from a $25 movie. He said the premium VOD concept would appeal to consumers who prefer to stay home.


“The reality is most people who were planning to go out to the movies would still go out (movie-going is a social experience), but studios would now capture consumers who were not/could not get out to a movie,” Greenfield wrote in a Jan. 24 post to his clients, according to Home Media Magazine.

Of course, the plan would not sit well with theater owners who have complained in the past about such premium VOD schemes. But even with the movie being available on the same day it's released in the theater, it's hard to see many consumers shelling out $25 for a single film, unless, perhaps, it's a must-see blockbuster.

Mr. Greenfield may not know this but Americans are struggling these days; I mean, they are really struggling. They are looking to cut back on their home entertainment spending, not expand it.

It seems to me that Greenfield, like many studio executives, are so desperate to find new entertainment revenues that they will propose almost anything, regardless of how silly it may sound. However, in so doing, they are diminishing their credibility in the category.

What do you think? Offer your comments below!

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