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50 'TV Predictions' For 2012!
By Swanni

Washington, D.C. (December 26, 2011) -- It's that time again when all good pundits make their predictions for the coming year.

In the past, I have restricted my predictions to the TV technology industry. But this year, I am changing up and including my forecasts for the entertainment side of television. And instead of offering my usual portion of 15 or 20 predictions, I am making 50 predictions for television in the next year.

That's right. 50 TV Predictions from the web site you have come to know and love, TVPredictions.com.

My predictions cover such topics as Apple's new TV, Howard Stern's invasion of network television, the chances that a major corporation will buy DIRECTV or Dish Network; whether 24 and Friday Night Lights will become theatrical movies; which TV shows will be cancelled; which TV picture technologies will advance; what will happen to Netflix; and many, many more.

So, Swanni Sez, let's dive into that crystal ball and start making some predictions!

1. Apple TV Will NOT Launch in 2012
Despite what some Wall Street analysts have predicted, Apple will wait until 2013 to release its much-anticipated company-branded TV. Why? It's the economy, stupid. Apple is shrewd enough to know that you don't try to enter a new business category when consumers are counting their pennies. (Particularly a business category as tough as the retail TV business.) Plus, another year will give Apple time to smooth out some of those 'revolutionary' features that the late Steve Jobs was allegedly working on.


2. Big Trouble For HBO

HBO has seen its subscription totals erode somewhat in recent years, but 2012 will put company executives in unemployment lines; Time Warner shareholders in the 'sell' line; and perhaps a few creative types in coke lines. Recession-weary Americans need -- get it, NEED -- to cut back their monthly TV bills. And with HBO charging roughly $16 a month -- more than any other premium channel -- it will be the first place they cut.

To make matters worse, HBO is ready to file for intellectual bankruptcy. The channel just cancelled three disappointing comedies and the ratings for such dramas as Boardwalk Empire and Game of Thrones have been so-so at best. And whoever green-lighted that turgid ratings-bomb, Mildred Pierce, should be hauled off and sentenced to work at PBS for the rest of his/her life.

3. AMC's Ratings Will Get Even Better
Thanks to declining subscriptions for HBO -- and the return of Mad Men  -- AMC's ratings will jump again in 2012. Ex-HBO subscribers will turn to AMC, a basic cable channel, for cinema-like scripted drama.


4. Howard Stern Will Bomb On America's Got Talent

Howard is sarcastic, bombastic, acerbic and controversial -- everything a mass audience hates. And the last time I checked, NBC still has a few hopes of reaching a mass audience. America's Got Talent returns this summer, but Howard will take a fall by fall. (And for those who say Simon Cowell's outrageous personality has succeeded on network TV, look at Simon and then look at Howard (Come on, look at that picture above!) It's not just Howard's personality that scares the mass audience. And I say that as a Howard fan.
 

5. Consumers Will Continue to Ignore 3D TV
The studios and TV makers will make another attempt to cram 3D TV down our throats, but Americans ignored it in 2011 and they will again next year. The Hollywood and tech elite don't seem to understand that watching 3D at home is an intrusive, uncomfortable experience. It doesn't add to your enjoyment; it interrupts it. Television is supposed to help you relax, but 3D TV actually raises your energy level -- and not in a good way.

6. Charlie Sheen's Anger Management: Losing!
In the summer of 2012, Sheen will return to sitcom life with Anger Management on FX. But the show will be dead by 2013. Why? It's the stupid, stupid! People have grown weary of Sheen's stupidity tour; it's just not funny anymore and everyone knows it except for certain network executives who will find out the hard way.

7. Netflix Fires CEO Reed Hastings
Hastings masterfully built Netflix from an idea in 1998 to an industry powerhouse in 2011. But last summer, Hastings suddenly morphed into a rank amateur, raising prices and insulting his audience with a myriad of confusing policy twists and turns. The damage has been severe with Netflix hemorrhaging subscribers. In 2012, Hastings will have to take the fall for his erratic actions.

8. No One Will Buy DIRECTV or Dish Network - No One!
Every year, pundits and analysts, sometimes myself included, predict that some major corporation will buy one of the nation's two satellite TV services. Not gonna' happen; at least not in 2012. Too many financial and logistical obstacles. And when you factor in Dish's maverick CEO Charlie Ergen, who's tougher to negotiate with than an Mel Gibson ex, the chances of a deal get even smaller. PLUS, even if an AT&T makes a bid for Dish or DIRECTV, the feds will swat it down faster than Shaquille O'Neal in his prime, claiming anti-competitive issues.

9. No One Will Buy TiVo
Likewise, every year brings a prediction that some company, such as Apple or Yahoo, will swallow up TiVo. Sorry, that ship has sailed. Thanks to plunging sub numbers -- and the heavy distribution of cable and satellite-branded DVRs -- TiVo's value has dropped like a rock. The company's patent portfolio is basically all it has left to sell, but it wouldn't bring a sufficient return to make it worthwhile for TiVo to pull the trigger.

10. CNN Will Fire Piers Morgan
It's bad enough that his ratings are falling short of his predecessor, Larry King, but a new report seems to surface every month that the ex News of the World editor may have had some involvement in the phone hacking scandal in the UK. It's time for CNN to throw Piers off a pier. (Hey, maybe Howard Stern can replace him after he leaves America's Got Talent! He replaced him on that show!)

Click here to see our Predictions 11-20!

What do you think? Offer your comments below!

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